Is Noah better off in Majors?

Noah Syndergaard is probably the highest ranked pitching prospect the Mets have had in some time.  Harvey and Wheeler were both high, but not ranked as high as Syndergaard.  DeGrom you say, well he was supposed to be a filler in MLB last year and turned out to be, well DeGrom…  I decided to look back at Wheeler, Harvey and DeGrom’s AAA and AA numbers before they reached the big leagues.  Noah struggles in 2014 and now in 2015 in AAA are starting to concern fans, but maybe he just needs out of AAA and thrust into the big leagues.  Wheeler, Harvey and DeGrom all had the luxury of coming onto a team that was building, not contending and from the looks of things that will not be an option for Noah.  If you look at the numbers below, maybe Noah should be #5 in this rotation and he can become what the other 3 did once they hit the majors.

Matt Harvey:
2011 (AA) 5-3 4.53 59.2 Innings
2012 (AAA) 7-5 3.68 110.0 Innings (Buffalo no Vegas)

Jacob DeGrom:
2013 (AA) 2-5 4.80 60.0 Innings
2013 (AAA) 4-2 4.52 75.2 Innings
2014 (AAA) 4-0 2.58 38.1 Innings

Zack Wheeler:
2012 (AA) 10-6 3.26 116.0 Innings
2013 (AAA) 4-2 3.93 68.2 Innings

Noah Syndergaard:
2013 (AA) 6-1 3.00 54.0 Innings
2014 (AAA) 9-7 4.60 133.0 Innings

No one talking about Dilson!

Over the last few days we have watched the Cubs bring up two highly ranked prospects not only highly ranked on the team’s top 20 but in overall baseball top 5.  The Mets prospects are not ranked that high, but we do have some young hitting talent coming.  As of right now it is Omar’s draft/trade classes that are leading the Mets charge.  Harvey, DeGrom, Familia, Duda, Murphy, Flores and Lagares.  Sandy is now making his mark with his trades (Noah, Travis, Wheeler, Herrera, etc..) and draft picks (Reynolds, Plawecki, Muno).  Those draft picks and trades are really starting to impact the Mets as a whole system.

Now all the talk of the Spring was about Reynolds and how long until he takes over for someone on this team.  Rightfully so, he had a great spring and it has continued over to AAA early on.  However are we forgetting a bit about Dilson Herrera?  All the tweets I see point out how Reynolds is doing, how he is X-X each game and currently hitting .314 as of 4/21/15.  Lets look though at the leadoff batter, a 21 year old who may have more potential then Reynolds will ever have at such a young age.  He stormed through A ball then AA ball in 2014.  In his “cup of coffee” with the Mets at the end of the year he showed power (3 HR in 59 AB).  He can lead off, he can play second and he may add excitement that Mets fans have not seen since a young SS name Reyes..  How is Dilson doing in his first 47 AB of the AAA season you ask? As of 4/21/15 he is hitting at .362/1/6/.392 slash line.

We all talk how Reynolds is pushing for the big leagues and Flores is on thin ice with Reynolds poised to be the next big call up, however lets not forget about the youth and excitement Herrera could be bringing to Citi Field sooner then later.  Maybe Murphy should be looking over his shoulder a little more then Flores is at the moment.

Look out MLB, another young Met could be adding to the Mets core that could lead this team back to the promise land, or in Mets fans case, respectability.

What is the “Wright” move

With the MRI results just hours away the Mets have already brought Eric Campbell back into the fold.  This is the first move to help solve a problem there is no real answer for. DW is the team captain, not to mention the linchpin of the lineup.  If DW is out for an extended period of time, what is the “Wright” move to make to help fill the gap?  Can you fill the gap?  Here are four scenarios to “ease his pain”.

  1. Eric Campbell is called up, platoons a bit with Murphy/Tejada at third base.  Campbell also gives them an extra outfield bat if Cuddyer is hurting for a few days.
  2. Matt Reynolds finally gets the call to the big leagues, is plugged in as your second baseman and Murphy moves to third.  Other option is Reynolds plays third base.
  3. Dilson is called up, plugged in as your second baseman and we get a glimpse of 2016 right before our eyes.  Also gives the Mets the option of moving Curtis down in the order while Dilson hits leadoff.  Murphy moves to third and continues to show his value to both the Mets and other teams scouting him for 2016.
  4. The team will NOT want to move Flores off of SS at all unless he fails with both the bat and glove.  However at third base he provides the “pop” a bit more then the other options.  In this one either Tejada/Reynolds comes in to play SS and Campbell is the super utility player the Mets need.

Bullpen Panic? Trade Gee?

After a successful start to the season where everything played out the way we expect the Mets to play, we got the scare… Could it be that for the 2nd straight year the Mets could lose their closer on opening day?

What went right:

  • Colon did what we all hoped and expected.  He gave the team 6 very solid innings and the chance to win.  I don’t expect him to pitch this well all year, but if he can provide solid starts and give the offense a chance to win it, it is a win.
  • Duda came through when needed. Lets be honest, we can’t hit the alarm when the team gets no hit for 5 innings against one of the best pitchers in the game. Duda was put in a run producing spot and came through.  Grandy batting leadoff worked (I was one of the many screaming “why” when saw the line-up) and Mets walked away with two walks and a run.
  • Bullpen was solid.  The plan was in place,Tores, Familia then Mejia… Well 2 out of 3 worked.  A combo of Blevins and Carlye finished out the game and the bullpen was perfect for 3 innings.
  • Overall the Mets blueprint for opening day wokred.

Next Steps:

  • It is now time to trade Gee for a bullpen arm.  Yes it is way easier to say that then it is to do it.  As we saw last week, Sandy saw a need and overproduced with two left handed relievers.  If you say “Parnell and Black are coming”, just remember spring, neither is totally healthy right now.  Parnell is not all the way back, he is not throwing as hard and that is his game.  Black also needs to be 100% healthy in order to be effective.
  • Now is the time to strike.  SD didn’t sit back, Pirates, Marlins, Giants, Cardinals, Cubs, Reds, etc. all will be pushing for wildcard spots.  In a 162 game season game 2 may actually matter in such a tight race this could be.
  • Lets say Sandy trades Gee. Before we slot Montero into the 5th spot as we all want to do (Me included), lets pull up Noah and go from there.  Do you really think Mets would skip a beat with Colon, Degrom, Harvey, Neise and Noah vs. Colon, Degrom, Harvey, Neise and Gee?  I don’t think so either.  Remove Mejia, add a solid BP arm via Gee trade and bring up Noah.  Montero can be solid in the pen and when Parnell/Black are fully ready it will be a good problem to have.

Once again this is just a fans point of view.  No sources, no insider hints, just my thoughts.

2015 Final Predictions

Spring training has come and gone and we are just 2 exhibition games left before the regular season begins.  The Mets spring training was a lot of ups and downs.  The injuries to Wheeler and Edgin changed the game a bit, but now the stockpiling of young arms is paying off.  Even with Wheeler gone for 2015, the Mets have 6 pitchers for 5 spots with 2 more waiting in AAA (Matz/Noah).  After watching the spring, seeing the current talent and knowing the talent that could help in 2015 (Matt Reynolds, Noah, Matz, etc..) I am ready to make my season prediction.  Right now I am putting the Mets to finish 88-74 on the year and be very much alive for one of the 2 wild-card spots.

Below are my position prediction for 2015:

Catcher – I think we can remove the question mark from him with the confidence that 2nd half Travis will be the one in 2015.  Track records show he will hit.  Projected 2015 Stats – .273/16/57

First Base –  If Lucas has to sit 15-20 games a year against left handed pitching, so be it. 140 games will still yield nice numbers from your first baseman.  Projected 2015 Stats – .280/28/88

Second Base – Daniel is a consistent player and will be again in 2015. In 2015 he is playing to prove not only to the Mets but to all other teams he is a viable long term contract player.  The Mets will watch Murphy had another solid season then let him walk at the end.  Enjoy Murphy’s last year in NY, he will be solid and missed.  Projected 2015 Stats – .302/12/65

Short Stop – Wilmer will hit, will hit in the 7th/8th spot in the order and if his defense doesn’t effect his hitting, should be an above average hitter for his position.  Wilmer has worked the last two off seasons as hard as any Met to prove he can play on this level and at SS. Projected 2015 Stats – .271/15/52

Third Base – David is the leader of this team and the face of NYM baseball.  He is the 3rd place hitter, their corner rock and the way the press will look at the Mets.  If David can stay healthy for the year, give the Mets 150 solid games this team has a shot at the playoffs. Projected 2015 Stats – .284/17/82

Left Field – I think realistically at age 37 Michael is a 135 game a year player, will hit solid for the Mets and be a doubles machine. Michael will be able to spell Duda at first base when needed.  A solid pick-up for both the team and clubhouse. Projected 2015 Stats: .278/20/80

Center Field – I believe Juan will hit enough to warrant his everyday position on the Mets. His defense is second to none, he hit enough last year to be considered a good hitter.  If he can cut down on his k’s, walk a few more times he will take off.  He proved at the end of last year he has very good base stealing ability if he can get on.  I believe Juan is ready to be a superstar in the this league and City. Projected 2015 Stats: .281/10/50

Right Field – Curtis is Curtis and I think last year was an adjustment for him.  Will he return to the past Curtis numbers, NO, but he will have a better year in 2015 then 2014.  He will continue to strike out but also walk.  Curtis needs to work on his consistency for 2015.  Projected 2015 Stats: .259/19/74

Bench Players:

  • John Mayberry Jr. – .260/8/25
  • Ruben Tejada – .275/1/15
  • Eric Campbell – .265/2/18
  • Anthony Recker – .225/8/25
  • Kirk Nieuwenhuis – .258/5/22

Opening Day Pitchers:

  • Bartolo Colon – 26 starts – 8-8 4.15 ERA
  • Jacob DeGrom – 32 starts – 15-7 3.12 ERA
  • Matt Harvey – 28 starts – 13-6 2.75 ERA
  • Dillon Gee – 12 starts – 3-5 4.25 ERA
  • Jonathan Neise – 32 starts – 14-11 3.48 ERA

Other Starters:

  • Rafael Montero – 15 starts – 6-4 3.95 ERA
  • Noah Syndergaard – 10 starts – 4-2 3.45 ERA